Los Angeles Angels @ Houston Astros Recap
MLB · August 20, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Los Angeles Angels WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Los Angeles Angels at 38% against FanDuel's implied 36% — an edge of +5.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +4.3pp · closed at 2.66 (37.6%)
Solid 5.6% edge at FanDuel (2.75). Elo agrees (-54 gap).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Model performance on Los Angeles Angels picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
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