San Francisco Giants @ Cleveland Guardians Recap

MLB · August 19, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — San Francisco Giants WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked San Francisco Giants at 51% against FanDuel's implied 53% — an edge of +3.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +4.5pp · closed at 1.93 (51.8%)

Small Play

San Francisco Giants

Model 51%

Market 53%

Edge +3.1 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

51.3% —

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