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Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies Recap

MLB · August 18, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Colorado Rockies WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Colorado Rockies at 47% against FanDuel's implied 47% — an edge of +6.5pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +7.4pp  ·  closed at 2.16 (46.3%)

Pass Dog play
Colorado Rockies
+112 on FanDuel
Model 47%
Market 47%
Edge +6.5 pts

FADE GUARD: market moved 1.7pp against this side since publish

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
47.0%

Model performance on Colorado Rockies picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
33
W - L
8 - 25
Win rate
24%
Avg CLV
+5.1pt
ROI
-47.4%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.