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Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies Recap

MLB · August 17, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Colorado Rockies LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Colorado Rockies at 40% against FanDuel's implied 41% — an edge of +13.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +16.0pp  ·  closed at 2.61 (38.3%)

Top Pick Dog play
Colorado Rockies
+146 on FanDuel
Model 40%
Market 41%
Edge +13.6 pts

Model gives 54.3% vs FanDuel's implied 40.7%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up. Note: best price is 2.61 at DraftKings.

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
40.3%

Model performance on Colorado Rockies picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
33
W - L
8 - 25
Win rate
24%
Avg CLV
+5.1pt
ROI
-47.4%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.