Atlanta Braves @ Minnesota Twins Recap

MLB · August 18, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Minnesota Twins WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Minnesota Twins at 56% against FanDuel's implied 57% — an edge of +2.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +3.4pp · closed at 1.79 (55.9%)

Small Play

Minnesota Twins

Model 56%

Market 57%

Edge +2.1 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

55.6% —

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