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Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

MLB · August 16, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Milwaukee Brewers WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Milwaukee Brewers at 57% against FanDuel's implied 59% — an edge of +2.5pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +4.5pp  ·  closed at 1.76 (56.8%)

Small Play
Milwaukee Brewers
Model 57%
Market 59%
Edge +2.5 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
56.9% —

Model performance on Milwaukee Brewers picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
18
W - L
12 - 5
Win rate
71%
Avg CLV
+4.4pt
ROI
+55.7%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.