New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays Recap

MLB · August 14, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Toronto Blue Jays WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Toronto Blue Jays at 55% against FanDuel's implied 56% — an edge of +2.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +0.4pp · closed at 1.75 (57.1%)

Small Play

Toronto Blue Jays

Model 55%

Market 56%

Edge +2.0 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

55.1% —

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