Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers Recap
MLB · August 14, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Chicago White Sox WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Chicago White Sox at 46% against FanDuel's implied 46% — an edge of +4.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +5.0pp · closed at 2.20 (45.5%)
Chicago White Sox
Model
46%
Market
46%
Edge
+4.2 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Elo baseline
47.8%
—
+ Season record + form
49.3%
+1.5pp
Platt rescale
45.2%
-4.1pp
Final model probability
45.8%
+0.6pp
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