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Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels Recap

MLB · August 11, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Los Angeles Angels WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Los Angeles Angels at 48% against FanDuel's implied 50% — an edge of +10.4pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +5.3pp  ·  closed at 1.83 (54.6%)

Top Pick Dog play
Los Angeles Angels
+102 on FanDuel
Model 48%
Market 50%
Edge +10.4 pts

Model gives 59.9% vs FanDuel's implied 49.5%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up.

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
48.1%

Model performance on Los Angeles Angels picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
26
W - L
10 - 16
Win rate
38%
Avg CLV
+3.9pt
ROI
-17.9%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.