Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

MLB · August 11, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Kansas City Royals WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Kansas City Royals at 45% against FanDuel's implied 46% — an edge of +9.4pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +8.4pp · closed at 2.11 (47.4%)

Top Pick Dog play

Kansas City Royals

Model 45%

Market 46%

Edge +9.4 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

44.8% —

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.