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Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

MLB · August 10, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Kansas City Royals WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Kansas City Royals at 48% against FanDuel's implied 50% — an edge of +7.4pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +10.0pp  ·  closed at 2.11 (47.4%)

Small Play Dog play
Kansas City Royals
+100 on FanDuel
Model 48%
Market 50%
Edge +7.4 pts

Solid 7.4% edge at FanDuel (2.00). Best is 2.15 at BetMGM.

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
48.2%

Model performance on Kansas City Royals picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
21
W - L
14 - 7
Win rate
67%
Avg CLV
+5.1pt
ROI
+55.1%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.