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Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners Recap

MLB · August 08, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Tampa Bay Rays LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Tampa Bay Rays at 33% against FanDuel's implied 35% — an edge of +4.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play Dog play
Tampa Bay Rays
+188 on FanDuel
Model 33%
Market 35%
Edge +4.1 pts

Solid 4.1% edge at FanDuel (2.88).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
33.4%

Model performance on Tampa Bay Rays picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
31
W - L
16 - 15
Win rate
52%
Avg CLV
+1.8pt
ROI
+10.4%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.