Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox Recap
MLB · August 06, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Chicago White Sox WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Chicago White Sox at 55% against FanDuel's implied 57% — an edge of +2.4pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +4.6pp · closed at 1.83 (54.6%)
Chicago White Sox
Model
55%
Market
57%
Edge
+2.4 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
55.3%
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