Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs Recap
MLB · August 04, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Chicago Cubs WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Chicago Cubs at 49% against FanDuel's implied 49% — an edge of +11.5pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +11.5pp · closed at 2.05 (48.8%)
Chicago Cubs
Model
49%
Market
49%
Edge
+11.5 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
48.5%
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