Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs Recap
MLB · August 03, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Chicago Cubs WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Chicago Cubs at 56% against FanDuel's implied 57% — an edge of +10.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +7.5pp · closed at 1.66 (60.2%)
Chicago Cubs
Model
56%
Market
57%
Edge
+10.9 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
55.6%
—
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.