Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs Recap
MLB · August 03, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Chicago Cubs WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Chicago Cubs at 56% against FanDuel's implied 57% — an edge of +10.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +7.5pp · closed at 1.66 (60.2%)
Model gives 67.8% vs FanDuel's implied 56.8%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up. Note: best price is 1.93 at DraftKings.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Model performance on Chicago Cubs picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.