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Detroit Tigers @ Athletics Recap

MLB · August 01, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Athletics LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Athletics at 51% against FanDuel's implied 51% — an edge of +9.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +11.9pp  ·  closed at 2.05 (48.8%)

Top Pick
Athletics
-104 on FanDuel
Model 51%
Market 51%
Edge +9.7 pts

Model gives 60.7% vs FanDuel's implied 51.0%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up. Note: best price is 2.05 at BetMGM.

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
50.6%

Model performance on Athletics picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
53
W - L
18 - 35
Win rate
34%
Avg CLV
+5.8pt
ROI
-13.3%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.