Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers Recap
MLB · August 02, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Boston Red Sox WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Boston Red Sox at 38% against FanDuel's implied 38% — an edge of +4.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +3.9pp · closed at 2.60 (38.5%)
Solid 4.8% edge at FanDuel (2.66). Elo agrees (-46 gap).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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