Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets Recap
MLB · July 29, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — New York Mets WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked New York Mets at 53% against FanDuel's implied 55% — an edge of +2.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +1.8pp · closed at 1.79 (55.9%)
New York Mets
Model
53%
Market
55%
Edge
+2.8 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
53.1%
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