Houston Astros @ Chicago White Sox Recap
MLB · July 26, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Chicago White Sox WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Chicago White Sox at 43% against FanDuel's implied 45% — an edge of +6.4pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: -3.0pp · closed at 1.85 (54.0%)
Solid 6.4% edge at FanDuel (2.24).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Model performance on Chicago White Sox picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
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