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Los Angeles Angels @ San Francisco Giants Recap

MLB · July 24, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Los Angeles Angels LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Los Angeles Angels at 42% against FanDuel's implied 42% — an edge of +6.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +6.2pp  ·  closed at 2.37 (42.2%)

Small Play Dog play
Los Angeles Angels
+136 on FanDuel
Model 42%
Market 42%
Edge +6.0 pts

Solid 6.0% edge at FanDuel (2.36).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Elo baseline
45.7%
+ Season record + form
46.7% +1.0pp
Calibration offset
47.7% +1.0pp
Platt rescale
38.6% -9.1pp
Moneyline normalization (both sides to 100%)
41.9% +3.3pp

Model performance on Los Angeles Angels picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
26
W - L
10 - 16
Win rate
38%
Avg CLV
+3.9pt
ROI
-17.9%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.