Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets Recap
MLB · July 24, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — New York Mets LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked New York Mets at 54% against FanDuel's implied 56% — an edge of +2.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: -0.9pp · closed at 1.68 (59.5%)
New York Mets
-127 on FanDuel
Model
54%
Market
56%
Edge
+2.7 pts
Solid 2.7% edge at FanDuel (1.79).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
54.3%
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