Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers Recap

MLB · July 24, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Kansas City Royals WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Kansas City Royals at 49% against FanDuel's implied 51% — an edge of +5.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +6.8pp · closed at 2.02 (49.5%)

Small Play Dog play

Kansas City Royals

Model 49%

Market 51%

Edge +5.8 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

49.4% —

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