Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers Recap
MLB · July 23, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Kansas City Royals WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Kansas City Royals at 51% against FanDuel's implied 53% — an edge of +8.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +12.0pp · closed at 2.01 (49.8%)
Kansas City Royals
Model
51%
Market
53%
Edge
+8.9 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
51.3%
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