Detroit Tigers @ Chicago Cubs Recap
MLB · July 22, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Chicago Cubs LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Chicago Cubs at 36% against FanDuel's implied 37% — an edge of +5.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +5.4pp · closed at 2.75 (36.4%)
Chicago Cubs
Model
36%
Market
37%
Edge
+5.0 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
35.7%
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