Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies Recap
MLB · July 21, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Los Angeles Dodgers WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Los Angeles Dodgers at 48% against FanDuel's implied 49% — an edge of +2.5pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +1.6pp · closed at 2.02 (49.5%)
Solid 2.5% edge at FanDuel (2.06). Elo agrees (+42 gap).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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