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Texas Rangers @ Atlanta Braves Recap

MLB · July 19, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Atlanta Braves WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Atlanta Braves at 60% against FanDuel's implied 62% — an edge of +2.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +2.2pp  ·  closed at 1.62 (61.7%)

Small Play
Atlanta Braves
-161 on FanDuel
Model 60%
Market 62%
Edge +2.2 pts

Solid 2.2% edge at FanDuel (1.62).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
60.0%

Model performance on Atlanta Braves picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
63
W - L
26 - 33
Win rate
44%
Avg CLV
+5.0pt
ROI
-27.7%

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