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Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies Recap

MLB · July 19, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Colorado Rockies LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Colorado Rockies at 52% against FanDuel's implied 54% — an edge of +3.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +6.3pp  ·  closed at 1.94 (51.5%)

Small Play
Colorado Rockies
-118 on FanDuel
Model 52%
Market 54%
Edge +3.8 pts

Solid 3.8% edge at FanDuel (1.85). Best is 1.95 at BetMGM.

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
51.7%

Model performance on Colorado Rockies picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
43
W - L
21 - 22
Win rate
49%
Avg CLV
+5.1pt
ROI
+17.5%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.