San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners Recap
MLB · July 17, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Seattle Mariners LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Seattle Mariners at 39% against FanDuel's implied 40% — an edge of +4.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +1.1pp · closed at 2.29 (43.7%)
FADE GUARD: market moved 1.5pp against this side since publish
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Model performance on Seattle Mariners picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
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