Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers Recap
MLB · July 12, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Philadelphia Phillies WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Philadelphia Phillies at 35% against FanDuel's implied 36% — an edge of +5.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Philadelphia Phillies
Model
35%
Market
36%
Edge
+5.8 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
34.6%
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Model performance on Philadelphia Phillies picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
Picks
10
W - L
4 - 6
Win rate
40%
Avg CLV
+1.1pt
ROI
+3.5%
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.