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Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

MLB · July 12, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Arizona Diamondbacks WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Arizona Diamondbacks at 52% against FanDuel's implied 53% — an edge of +5.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +8.1pp  ·  closed at 2.01 (49.8%)

Small Play
Arizona Diamondbacks
-111 on FanDuel
Model 52%
Market 53%
Edge +5.2 pts

Solid 5.2% edge at FanDuel (1.90). Best is 1.98 at DraftKings.

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
51.5%

Model performance on Arizona Diamondbacks picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
17
W - L
10 - 7
Win rate
59%
Avg CLV
+4.2pt
ROI
+70.8%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.