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Seattle Mariners @ Miami Marlins Recap

MLB · July 08, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Miami Marlins WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Miami Marlins at 59% against FanDuel's implied 61% — an edge of +2.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +3.7pp  ·  closed at 1.68 (59.5%)

Small Play
Miami Marlins
-154 on FanDuel
Model 59%
Market 61%
Edge +2.6 pts

Solid 2.6% edge at FanDuel (1.65).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
59.1%

Model performance on Miami Marlins picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
20
W - L
10 - 10
Win rate
50%
Avg CLV
+2.7pt
ROI
+17.8%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.