Philadelphia Phillies @ Cincinnati Reds Recap
MLB · July 08, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Philadelphia Phillies LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Philadelphia Phillies at 44% against FanDuel's implied 45% — an edge of +7.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +7.2pp · closed at 2.25 (44.4%)
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Model performance on Philadelphia Phillies picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
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