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Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels Recap

MLB · July 04, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Los Angeles Angels LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Los Angeles Angels at 53% against FanDuel's implied 53% — an edge of +10.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +10.7pp  ·  closed at 1.90 (52.6%)

Top Pick
Los Angeles Angels
-114 on FanDuel
Model 53%
Market 53%
Edge +10.1 pts

Model gives 63.3% vs FanDuel's implied 53.2%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up.

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
52.7%

Model performance on Los Angeles Angels picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
25
W - L
10 - 15
Win rate
40%
Avg CLV
+5.3pt
ROI
-32.4%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.