Milwaukee Brewers @ Arizona Diamondbacks Recap
MLB · July 03, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Arizona Diamondbacks LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Arizona Diamondbacks at 56% against FanDuel's implied 57% — an edge of +2.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +1.6pp · closed at 1.72 (58.1%)
Arizona Diamondbacks
Model
56%
Market
57%
Edge
+2.6 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
55.7%
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