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New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays Recap

MLB · July 01, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Toronto Blue Jays WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Toronto Blue Jays at 35% against FanDuel's implied 38% — an edge of +4.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play Dog play
Toronto Blue Jays
Model 35%
Market 38%
Edge +4.8 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
35.5% —

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