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Los Angeles Dodgers @ Athletics Recap

MLB · June 30, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Athletics LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Athletics at 51% against FanDuel's implied 52% — an edge of +6.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +9.8pp  ·  closed at 2.03 (49.3%)

Pass
Athletics
-110 on FanDuel
Model 51%
Market 52%
Edge +6.7 pts

FADE GUARD: market moved 1.9pp against this side since publish

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
51.4%

Model performance on Athletics picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
35
W - L
14 - 21
Win rate
40%
Avg CLV
+3.6pt
ROI
-13.2%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.