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Texas Rangers @ Cleveland Guardians Recap

MLB · June 30, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Cleveland Guardians LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Cleveland Guardians at 60% against FanDuel's implied 61% — an edge of +3.5pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +3.5pp  ·  closed at 1.64 (61.0%)

Small Play
Cleveland Guardians
-156 on FanDuel
Model 60%
Market 61%
Edge +3.5 pts

Solid 3.5% edge at FanDuel (1.64).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
59.6%

Model performance on Cleveland Guardians picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
43
W - L
15 - 25
Win rate
38%
Avg CLV
+4.5pt
ROI
-17.6%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.