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New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays Recap

MLB · June 29, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Toronto Blue Jays LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Toronto Blue Jays at 35% against FanDuel's implied 37% — an edge of +6.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +5.4pp  ·  closed at 2.67 (37.5%)

Small Play Dog play
Toronto Blue Jays
+172 on FanDuel
Model 35%
Market 37%
Edge +6.1 pts

Solid 6.1% edge at FanDuel (2.72).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
34.8%

Model performance on Toronto Blue Jays picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
23
W - L
9 - 14
Win rate
39%
Avg CLV
+3.0pt
ROI
-37.2%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.