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Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees Recap

MLB · June 29, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — New York Yankees LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked New York Yankees at 39% against FanDuel's implied 41% — an edge of +6.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +9.3pp  ·  closed at 2.59 (38.6%)

Small Play Dog play
New York Yankees
+142 on FanDuel
Model 39%
Market 41%
Edge +6.6 pts

Solid 6.6% edge at FanDuel (2.42).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
39.3%

Model performance on New York Yankees picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
33
W - L
8 - 21
Win rate
28%
Avg CLV
+5.9pt
ROI
-36.8%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.