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New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox Recap

MLB · June 28, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — New York Yankees LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked New York Yankees at 39% against FanDuel's implied 40% — an edge of +9.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Top Pick Dog play
New York Yankees
+152 on FanDuel
Model 39%
Market 40%
Edge +9.1 pts

Model gives 48.8% vs FanDuel's implied 39.7%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up.

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
39.1%

Model performance on New York Yankees picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
33
W - L
8 - 21
Win rate
28%
Avg CLV
+5.9pt
ROI
-36.8%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.