Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays Recap
MLB · June 28, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Arizona Diamondbacks LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Arizona Diamondbacks at 51% against FanDuel's implied 53% — an edge of +6.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +3.1pp · closed at 1.76 (56.8%)
Arizona Diamondbacks
Model
51%
Market
53%
Edge
+6.8 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
51.5%
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