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Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres Recap

MLB · June 26, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — San Diego Padres WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked San Diego Padres at 56% against FanDuel's implied 58% — an edge of +4.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +4.3pp  ·  closed at 1.74 (57.5%)

Small Play
San Diego Padres
-137 on FanDuel
Model 56%
Market 58%
Edge +4.0 pts

Solid 4.0% edge at FanDuel (1.73).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
56.5%

Model performance on San Diego Padres picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
32
W - L
12 - 20
Win rate
38%
Avg CLV
+5.2pt
ROI
-38.3%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.