Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Recap
MLB · June 26, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — New York Mets WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked New York Mets at 48% against FanDuel's implied 50% — an edge of +5.3pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +0.4pp · closed at 1.82 (54.9%)
Solid 5.3% edge at FanDuel (2.00). Best is 2.10 at BetMGM.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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