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Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Recap

MLB · June 26, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — New York Mets WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked New York Mets at 48% against FanDuel's implied 50% — an edge of +5.3pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +0.4pp  ·  closed at 1.82 (54.9%)

Small Play Dog play
New York Mets
Model 48%
Market 50%
Edge +5.3 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
47.9%

Model performance on New York Mets picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
13
W - L
7 - 6
Win rate
54%
Avg CLV
+3.3pt
ROI
+14.4%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.