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Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox Recap

MLB · June 26, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Chicago White Sox WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Chicago White Sox at 35% against FanDuel's implied 37% — an edge of +6.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +5.1pp  ·  closed at 2.64 (37.9%)

Small Play Dog play
Chicago White Sox
Model 35%
Market 37%
Edge +6.2 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
34.9% —

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