Los Angeles Dodgers @ Minnesota Twins Recap

MLB · June 23, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Minnesota Twins LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Minnesota Twins at 53% against FanDuel's implied 53% — an edge of +6.4pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +8.3pp · closed at 1.94 (51.5%)

Small Play

Minnesota Twins

Model 53%

Market 53%

Edge +6.4 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

52.5% —

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