Boston Red Sox @ Colorado Rockies Recap
MLB · June 22, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Colorado Rockies WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Colorado Rockies at 46% against FanDuel's implied 48% — an edge of +4.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +7.3pp · closed at 2.23 (44.8%)
FADE GUARD: market moved 1.8pp against this side since publish
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Model performance on Colorado Rockies picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
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