Lakeshore Edge Create Free Account

Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Angels Recap

MLB · June 22, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Los Angeles Angels LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Los Angeles Angels at 42% against FanDuel's implied 42% — an edge of +6.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +8.6pp  ·  closed at 2.48 (40.3%)

Small Play Dog play
Los Angeles Angels
+136 on FanDuel
Model 42%
Market 42%
Edge +6.6 pts

Solid 6.6% edge at FanDuel (2.36).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Elo baseline
49.3%
+ Season record + form
47.0% -2.3pp
Calibration offset
47.6% +0.6pp
Platt rescale
41.1% -6.5pp
Final model probability
41.8% +0.7pp

Model performance on Los Angeles Angels picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
25
W - L
10 - 15
Win rate
40%
Avg CLV
+5.3pt
ROI
-32.4%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.