Los Angeles Dodgers @ Minnesota Twins Recap

MLB · June 22, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Minnesota Twins WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Minnesota Twins at 55% against FanDuel's implied 56% — an edge of +3.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +4.6pp · closed at 1.81 (55.2%)

Small Play

Minnesota Twins

Model 55%

Market 56%

Edge +3.7 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

54.7% —

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