Houston Astros @ Toronto Blue Jays Recap
MLB · June 22, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Toronto Blue Jays WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Toronto Blue Jays at 36% against FanDuel's implied 37% — an edge of +4.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +5.5pp · closed at 2.73 (36.6%)
Toronto Blue Jays
Model
36%
Market
37%
Edge
+4.8 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
36.1%
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