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Minnesota Twins @ Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

MLB · June 20, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Arizona Diamondbacks LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Arizona Diamondbacks at 36% against FanDuel's implied 37% — an edge of +4.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +4.7pp  ·  closed at 2.68 (37.3%)

Small Play Dog play
Arizona Diamondbacks
Model 36%
Market 37%
Edge +4.7 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
36.1% —

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